Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 3.582292 3.806489 4.047008 4.325944 4.642768 4.994201 5.417461
2025-07-27 3.389702 3.722076 4.102138 4.576279 5.163188 5.882430 6.859508
2025-08-03 3.199004 3.600829 4.083630 4.723220 5.577252 6.728589 8.506556
2025-08-10 2.970936 3.401029 3.935898 4.676096 5.723775 7.252065 9.906301
2025-08-17 2.733696 3.162851 3.708412 4.485432 5.630053 7.397989 10.767257
2025-08-24 2.567951 2.999527 3.559213 4.377922 5.631039 7.680944 12.002649
2025-08-31 2.452290 2.890785 3.470558 4.341443 5.727796 8.140129 13.867166
2025-09-07 2.335228 2.771161 3.355780 4.251512 5.721086 8.408319 15.490529
2025-09-14 2.227107 2.656556 3.238907 4.145316 5.669278 8.574911 16.999616
2025-09-21 2.126800 2.547008 3.121736 4.027352 5.579946 8.643429 18.306405
2025-09-28 2.069640 2.493517 3.080888 4.024160 5.691712 9.171433 21.940176
2025-10-05 2.071031 2.520750 3.157997 4.215865 6.192689 10.788224 34.934142
2025-10-12 2.032995 2.495511 3.163310 4.304056 6.544868 12.335613 62.587317
2025-10-19 2.019798 2.505714 3.224154 4.497868 7.175898 15.299448 507.238084
2025-10-26 1.988061 2.486880 3.238397 4.611687 7.672191 18.521710 NaN
2025-11-02 1.923621 2.415895 3.164348 4.552645 7.740193 20.080613 NaN
2025-11-09 1.838780 2.310672 3.029083 4.364561 7.444355 19.530324 NaN
2025-11-16 1.775789 2.236088 2.940149 4.259182 7.349691 20.101464 NaN
2025-11-23 1.730429 2.186334 2.889112 4.222959 7.433443 21.929219 NaN
2025-11-30 1.678905 2.125164 2.816023 4.136736 7.364277 22.744991 NaN
2025-12-07 1.627765 2.062854 2.738254 4.035379 7.236521 23.052976 NaN
2025-12-14 1.577434 2.000270 2.657566 3.922911 7.061480 22.867753 NaN
2025-12-21 1.549457 1.971181 2.631711 3.919784 7.205353 25.699110 NaN